Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-28 1.833271 2.088694 2.366324 2.690447 3.058437 3.463236 3.942326
2025-10-05 1.519776 1.888168 2.323522 2.875740 3.557503 4.371731 5.418431
2025-10-12 1.285217 1.695314 2.208776 2.898444 3.800510 4.940520 6.491673
2025-10-19 1.151356 1.595264 2.178016 2.998355 4.123251 5.612109 7.734140
2025-10-26 1.009847 1.460526 2.077113 2.981309 4.273261 6.053345 8.694874
2025-11-02 0.899341 1.351782 1.994146 2.971334 4.419999 6.489108 9.672365
2025-11-09 0.795757 1.239131 1.890383 2.914973 4.486069 6.805148 10.492745
2025-11-16 0.731834 1.177455 1.852888 2.949042 4.683069 7.321535 11.646653
2025-11-23 0.677392 1.123766 1.820535 2.984685 4.880753 7.848830 12.854664
2025-11-30 0.620161 1.059118 1.763658 2.973650 4.999481 8.256905 13.900429
2025-12-07 0.562155 0.986994 1.687212 2.921740 5.043635 8.543722 14.764715
2025-12-14 0.510643 0.920590 1.613614 2.866462 5.074498 8.806446 15.603305
2025-12-21 0.459970 0.854090 1.539478 2.813638 5.122850 9.133101 16.637898
2025-12-28 0.451256 0.862606 1.598132 3.003574 5.621559 10.290663 19.264385
2026-01-04 0.419151 0.824089 1.567902 3.027449 5.819291 10.928151 21.003027
2026-01-11 0.401125 0.810072 1.580747 3.131750 6.174350 11.879880 23.410062
2026-01-18 0.369706 0.766394 1.532879 3.113954 6.292717 12.397127 25.030589
2026-01-25 0.342426 0.728008 1.491236 3.103540 6.422914 12.945392 26.757606
2026-02-01 0.312780 0.681560 1.428903 3.044698 6.448981 13.289385 28.101994
2026-02-08 0.295453 0.659227 1.413266 3.080267 6.671160 14.042789 30.351342
2026-02-15 0.279734 0.638687 1.399252 3.117478 6.899264 14.825912 32.730687
2026-02-22 0.261074 0.609685 1.364402 3.105958 7.020743 15.394849 34.698937
2026-03-01 0.240591 0.574435 1.312598 3.051763 7.042804 15.751975 36.232451